{
 "schema": 2,
 "generated_at": "2026-09-23 00:25:34",
 "market": {
  "date": "2026-09-22",
  "report": "report_20260922.html",
  "season": "春→夏",
  "season_note": "综合评分67分",
  "panic": "30/100",
  "panic_n": 30,
  "position_cap": "半仓",
  "position_note": "恐慌度30对应半仓",
  "turnover": "21356亿",
  "score": 67,
  "facts": [
   {
    "k": "上证指数",
    "v": "3952.13 +0.06%"
   },
   {
    "k": "深证成指",
    "v": "13723.74 -0.05%"
   },
   {
    "k": "创业板指",
    "v": "3399.93 +0.01%"
   },
   {
    "k": "沪深300",
    "v": "4544.59 +0.11%"
   },
   {
    "k": "中证500",
    "v": "7828.94 -0.27%"
   },
   {
    "k": "中证1000",
    "v": "7759.03 -0.09%"
   },
   {
    "k": "科创50",
    "v": "1665.04 +0.46%"
   },
   {
    "k": "涨跌家数",
    "v": "上涨2374家/下跌3030家(涨跌比44%)"
   },
   {
    "k": "两市成交额",
    "v": "21356亿(上证10080亿+深证11276亿,较昨放量+5.1%)"
   },
   {
    "k": "涨停跌停",
    "v": "涨停65只(ST占0)/跌停5只(非ST3)"
   }
  ],
  "trackA": "A轨(大盘/指数): 七指数涨跌互现(上证+0.06%/科创50+0.46%收涨, 中证500-0.27%领跌), 成交21356亿放量+5.1%为近10日最高, 涨跌家数2374:3030(涨跌比44%), 恐慌度30/100、综合评分67分、春→夏、仓位上限半仓 → 指数维度=放量修复但权重/小盘分化、宽度收窄",
  "trackB": "B轨(情绪/涨停): 涨停65只(昨105只,-40)/跌停5只(昨2只,+3), 连板24只、最高6板(华瓷股份一字), 2板17只、首板占比62% → 情绪维度=总量降级但高度续创、中位接力改善, 缩圈晋级, 负反馈轻微",
  "trackDiff": "核心差异: A轨量能创近10日新高与B轨涨停-40背离, 说明资金在指数内换仓而非离场; 判定为修复中的分化期, 参与方式=只做资金进榜方向换手板低吸, 不追排板",
  "plan": [
   {
    "state": "已兑现",
    "key": "yes",
    "items": [
     "量能与高度打开(昨日待验证5): 今日成交21356亿守住2万亿(放量+5.1%)、首板占比降至62%(<75%高度打开信号) → 双双兑现",
     "医药梯队侧(昨日待验证1的≥3板条件): 南华生物晋级4板、哈药股份/新华制药/百花医药2板 → 高度兑现; 但医药涨停合计8只未达≥12只且板块资金掉榜 → 数量与资金侧未兑现(部分兑现)",
     "昨日新规则2(涨停新高+首板≥80%次日回落)第2个样本命中: 106→65只 (观察中规则, 样本2/2, 未激活)"
    ]
   },
   {
    "state": "正在兑现中",
    "key": "ing",
    "items": [
     "高低切换(硬件→AI应用)进行中第1日: CPO/5G/光通信/存储/PCB掉榜 vs 腾讯概念/百度概念/算力租赁/人工智能进榜(约+264亿, 人工智能环比+114%) → 需连续≥3日确认; 芯片若回补则切换不成立(双轮共振)",
     "高度周期与中位接力: 华瓷股份6板、内蒙新华5板, 首板占比80%→62% → 缩圈晋级进行中, 需2板晋级≥5只确认接力改善",
     "医药政策主线证真进行中: 梯队完整(4板+3只2板)但资金掉榜、数量8<12 → 资金回榜+晋级才从『兑现中』转『已兑现』"
    ]
   },
   {
    "state": "预期差",
    "key": "gap",
    "items": [
     "昨日基准场景B(涨停70-100)未达标、实际65只 → 市场比『高位整固』弱一档, 属缩圈晋级; 触发=明日涨停≥80且2板晋级≥5只(修复重启), 证伪=涨停<50且跌停≥10(转入场景A冲高回落延续)",
     "消息与资金同向度: 市场把今日冲高回落解读为获利了结, 但AI应用6方向单日集中进榜约+264亿为首日 → 触发=AI应用连续第2日进榜且南威软件3板, 证伪=次日应用链资金全线回落而芯片不回补(单日游切换)",
     "创新药预期差: 政策长逻辑(十五五规划)与梯队(4板+3只2板)仍在, 但板块资金掉出TOP100、涨停数8<12 → 触发=资金回榜且南华生物晋级5板, 证伪=高位股批量断板且资金连续2日缺席(政策情绪衰竭)"
    ]
   }
  ],
  "summary": [
   {
    "no": "01",
    "k": "指数分化",
    "v": "上证+0.06%/沪深300+0.11%,中证1000-0.09%,权重/小盘温和分化。"
   },
   {
    "no": "02",
    "k": "情绪信号",
    "v": "涨停65只(昨105只,-40)、跌停5只(昨2只,+3),涨跌家数2374:3030(44%)。"
   },
   {
    "no": "03",
    "k": "资金方向(10日累计)",
    "v": "CPO概念(10日+562亿)/5G概念(10日+503亿) 为主攻; 撤离嫌疑: CPO概念; 5G概念; 光通信; 今日实测流出(掉出TOP100): CPO概念(561.6亿)、5G概念(503.49亿)、光通信(426.72亿); 背离(大额净入但板块不涨): 无。以10日方向为纲, 单日掉榜/背离是敏感性预警。"
   },
   {
    "no": "04",
    "k": "主线",
    "v": "芯片次主线, 空间板6板:华瓷股份·跨境电商"
   },
   {
    "no": "05",
    "k": "核心矛盾",
    "v": "主线持续性待确认,验证变量是跌停收敛和梯队修复。"
   },
   {
    "no": "06",
    "k": "明日动作",
    "v": "仓位上限半仓,可试错最强核心,回避中位跟风。"
   }
  ],
  "news": [
   {
    "t": "隔夜美股全线大涨",
    "d": "纳指+2.26%创收盘历史新高、标普+1.49%、道指+0.71%, 费城半导体指数+4.29%, Meta+11.43%、英特尔+12%、AMD市值首破1万亿美元A股AI芯片/算力高开, 博通集成、先导基电、中国长城涨停, 旋极信息20cm涨停, 科创50收+0.46%"
   },
   {
    "t": "Meta消费级AI智能体Muse连续三天登顶美区iPhone免费下载榜， 市场重估Agent时代服务器CPU需求",
    "d": "A股AI应用/AI智能体概念活跃: 南威软件2连板、智度股份涨停、延华智能2板, AI智能体涨停10只居今日概念第一"
   },
   {
    "t": "中东局势缓和",
    "d": "美方释放愿与伊朗谈判信号、沙特加大霍尔木兹海峡原油出口WTI原油-4.51%、布油-3.40%、10年期美债收益率回落至5%下方 → A股油服工程、航运港口板块跌幅居前"
   },
   {
    "t": "国际金价收跌约1%(COMEX黄金-0.93%、现货金盘中失守4300美元/盎司)",
    "d": "黄金股与贵金属方向承压, 有色盘中分化"
   },
   {
    "t": "习近平主席将对美国进行国事访问、中美经贸磋商在纽约举行， 中方回应中美或建立AI对话机制",
    "d": "外交缓和预期支撑风险偏好, 三大指数全天收涨但涨幅收窄(沪指午后由+0.22%回落至+0.06%)"
   },
   {
    "t": "传媒出版方向",
    "d": "9月文化数字化支持政策落地+出版龙头AI大模型布局, 新华传媒重组预期一字2板、封单21.46亿出版业涨停4只(内蒙新华5板/新华文轩3板/新华传媒2板/中国出版1板), 出版行业涨幅+3.39%、广告营销+3.58%居前"
   },
   {
    "t": "阿里巴巴发布新一代AI芯片(港股盘中10",
    "d": "49)港股阿里+1.95%, A股AI芯片情绪联动, 先导基电、博通集成涨停"
   },
   {
    "t": "创新药催化延续但属已定价背景",
    "d": "《医药工业发展十五五规划》(9/18十部门)+美国对外投资审查拟豁免药企授权交易(9/18路透草案)今日梯队延续(南华生物4板、哈药股份/新华制药/百花医药2板)但板块资金掉出TOP100, 属兑现中的分歧日"
   },
   {
    "t": "千问发布AI手机全栈解决方案Qwen Intelligence(16:22盘后)、智谱GLM-5.3-Flash单日调用量4.36万亿Token登OpenRouter第一(15:59盘后)",
    "d": "盘后增量催化, 明日端侧AI/AI应用方向待验证(今日尚未定价)"
   },
   {
    "t": "新零售/消费",
    "d": "当日无新增消息(商务部促消费解读与7部门2030年零售总额60万亿目标为9/21已定价背景)纯资金/技术驱动: 内蒙新华5板、我爱我家2板, 新零售为今日唯一仍进榜的次主线(+8.1亿)"
   },
   {
    "t": "虚拟数字人、储能、风电、粤港澳",
    "d": "当日均无新增消息虚拟数字人7只涨停属AI应用链延伸映射(南威软件/天威视讯/齐心集团); 储能、风电资金休整掉榜, 粤港澳进榜消失, 均按休整处理"
   },
   {
    "t": "跨境电商华瓷股份6板、三羊马3板",
    "d": "当日无新增消息, 纯资金/情绪驱动(9月中旬跨境贸易数字化扶持政策为已定价背景); 9月LPR(9/20公布)1年期3.0%/5年期以上3.5%连续16个月持平为平稳背景空间板高度锚续创本轮新高"
   }
  ]
 },
 "holdings": {
  "when": "2026-09-22 14:45:34",
  "actions": [
   {
    "icon": "🔴",
    "name": "英杰",
    "act": "卖出",
    "detail": "（30日到期）@ 72.580",
    "code": "300820"
   },
   {
    "icon": "🔴",
    "name": "半导体",
    "act": "卖出",
    "detail": "（30日到期）@ 1.120",
    "code": "159558"
   },
   {
    "icon": "🔴",
    "name": "通富",
    "act": "卖出",
    "detail": "（30日到期）@ 63.450",
    "code": "002156"
   }
  ],
  "positions": [
   {
    "name": "珂玛",
    "code": "301611",
    "held": 21,
    "hold_max": 30,
    "start": "08-24",
    "pnl": 12.6,
    "entry_px": 85.79,
    "progress": 0.7
   },
   {
    "name": "长电",
    "code": "600584",
    "held": 23,
    "hold_max": 30,
    "start": "08-20",
    "pnl": 6.2,
    "entry_px": 67.74,
    "progress": 0.7666666666666667
   },
   {
    "name": "兴森",
    "code": "002436",
    "held": 22,
    "hold_max": 30,
    "start": "08-21",
    "pnl": 12.6,
    "entry_px": 39.33,
    "progress": 0.7333333333333333
   },
   {
    "name": "新泉",
    "code": "603179",
    "held": 21,
    "hold_max": 30,
    "start": "08-24",
    "pnl": 7.5,
    "entry_px": 37.5,
    "progress": 0.7
   }
  ],
  "flat": [
   {
    "name": "成长100",
    "state": "空仓 · 等待 WUP 买点",
    "code": "159259"
   }
  ],
  "close": [
   {
    "name": "成长100",
    "px": 1.392,
    "code": "159259"
   },
   {
    "name": "英杰",
    "px": 72.58,
    "code": "300820"
   },
   {
    "name": "半导体",
    "px": 1.12,
    "code": "159558"
   },
   {
    "name": "珂玛",
    "px": 96.6,
    "code": "301611"
   },
   {
    "name": "长电",
    "px": 71.93,
    "code": "600584"
   },
   {
    "name": "通富",
    "px": 63.45,
    "code": "002156"
   },
   {
    "name": "兴森",
    "px": 44.28,
    "code": "002436"
   },
   {
    "name": "新泉",
    "px": 40.33,
    "code": "603179"
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  ],
  "risk_line": "牛态 · 仓位 1.0 · 灾难线 -30%",
  "extra_actions": 0,
  "source": "2026-09-22_14-45-34.md",
  "pacing": "T仓空: 无",
  "held_n": 7,
  "watch_n": 8,
  "watch_count": 8
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 "picks": {
  "list": [
   {
    "code": "600499",
    "name": "科达制造",
    "sd": 10,
    "df": 3,
    "st": false,
    "sd_track": [
     10
    ],
    "df_track": [
     3
    ],
    "days_in": 1
   },
   {
    "code": "301030",
    "name": "*ST仕净",
    "sd": 10,
    "df": 4,
    "st": true,
    "sd_track": [
     10,
     10,
     10
    ],
    "df_track": [
     3,
     4,
     4
    ],
    "days_in": 3
   },
   {
    "code": "000582",
    "name": "北部湾港",
    "sd": 9,
    "df": 0,
    "st": false,
    "sd_track": [
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     10,
     9
    ],
    "df_track": [
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     0,
     0
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    "days_in": 3
   },
   {
    "code": "688117",
    "name": "圣诺生物",
    "sd": 9,
    "df": 3,
    "st": false,
    "sd_track": [
     9
    ],
    "df_track": [
     3
    ],
    "days_in": 1
   },
   {
    "code": "002121",
    "name": "科陆电子",
    "sd": 9,
    "df": 0,
    "st": false,
    "sd_track": [
     9
    ],
    "df_track": [
     0
    ],
    "days_in": 1
   },
   {
    "code": "000893",
    "name": "亚钾国际",
    "sd": 9,
    "df": 0,
    "st": false,
    "sd_track": [
     9,
     9,
     9,
     9
    ],
    "df_track": [
     1,
     2,
     0,
     0
    ],
    "days_in": 4
   }
  ],
  "date": "2026-09-22",
  "gate_open": false,
  "gate_text": "关闭",
  "gate_note": "上次打开 2026-07-30（C=438 / 阈值186），至今已空仓 38 个交易日；历史累计打开 173 次。",
  "cand_recent": "近7个交易日候选数：09-14（4） · 09-15（3） · 09-16（1） · 09-17（1） · 09-18（1） · 09-21（1） · 09-22（1）",
  "pace_line": "每日SD≥9池 26/23/8/4/6 · 出手档 1/1/0/1/1 · 近5日门控全关 → 实际出手 0",
  "report": "lxxg_daily_20260922.html",
  "gate_flag": false,
  "C": 1
 },
 "risk": {
  "asof": "2026-09-22",
  "state": "牛",
  "weight": 1.0,
  "disaster_stop": -0.3,
  "r20": 1.61,
  "since": "2026-08-14",
  "held_days": 27,
  "index_close": 3952.13,
  "rule": "上证20日收益 +1.61% → 牛(1.0)"
 },
 "sources": {
  "市场": "report_20260922.html",
  "选股": "lxxg_daily_20260922.html",
  "持仓": "2026-09-22_14-45-34.md",
  "风控": "2026-09-22"
 }
}